THE GREAT STOCK MARKET SECRET

Written by Al Thomas


THE ALCHEMIST by AL THOMAS THE GREAT STOCK MARKET SECRET Whenrepparttar stock market is going up and all your stocks and mutual funds are making money you feel like a genius. It is too bad that some folks don’t remember what happened in 2000. Of course, right now we are in one of those genius phases. Your broker and financial planner are encouraging you to buy, buy, buy. And I can’t fault that at this time. You remember back in 2000 how many times they told you to buy, buy, buy whilerepparttar 112164 market was going down, down, down. Are we in another of those periods now that are leading up to a humongous crash? Hey, I don’t predict, but I do listen torepparttar 112165 voice ofrepparttar 112166 market. The great Wall Street mantra is “buy a good stock and put it away”. Did you keep WorldCom and Global Crossing? Even if these were exceptions because of fraud a smart investor would not have lost any money. In fact he could have made a nice profit.But Al, they went under! Yes, I know, butrepparttar 112167 smart money still made out because they sold nearrepparttar 112168 top. As a former exchange member and floor trader I was not right every time I bought something and I especially did not like giving back nice profits that had accumulated. You don’t have to be psychic to know when to sell and don’t think you are going to be able to pickrepparttar 112169 top. A really smart trader waits for a stock or fund to start up and then jumps on it with both feet. When

Conservative Investors Are Losers

Written by William Cate


Conservative Investors Are Losers By William Cate

It isn't your money that counts. It's what that money will buy that matters. To preserve your savings, your money must earn an income that offsetsrepparttar ravages of inflation. If your interest income is subject to taxation,repparttar 112163 interest level must equalize inflation after taxation.

It's 1952. You're a 12-year-old conservative investor planning to retire in 2005. You decide that after you retire, you will want to mail 1,000 postcards overrepparttar 112164 remainder of your life. You put $10 in a bank savings account, which representsrepparttar 112165 cost ofrepparttar 112166 1,000 post cards in 1952. The bank pays you 3% annual interest and after you pay State and Federal Tax onrepparttar 112167 interest, you are earning 1.8% on your postcard retirement investment. In 1992, your postcard fund has grown to $20. In January 2005, your postcard fund will have $27.50 in it for your retirement postcards. Meanwhilerepparttar 112168 price of 1,000 postcards has risen to $230. The cost of a postcard will rise again before you die.

If you had a middle class income and retired on a fixed income that equaled your salary in 1993, you are finding it nearly impossible to maintain your lifestyle today. The reason isrepparttar 112169 cost of everything has nearly doubled since 1993. Today, your fixed income buys about half of what it did in 1993. This pattern of certain poverty forrepparttar 112170 elderly has existed sincerepparttar 112171 Depression.

What'srepparttar 112172 current inflation rate? If you askrepparttar 112173 US Government, they will tell you that it has hovered around 3%/year forrepparttar 112174 past decade or more. Their statistical data is calledrepparttar 112175 Consumer Price Index (CPI). Unfortunately,repparttar 112176 Government uses statistics that intentionally report a percentage that is far belowrepparttar 112177 real inflation rate forrepparttar 112178 average family. Most economists and business people doublerepparttar 112179 CPI to get a figure closer to economic reality. Economic Conservatives tend to triplerepparttar 112180 CPI to suggestrepparttar 112181 annual US inflation rate to be around 9%. I'm withrepparttar 112182 majority who believe thatrepparttar 112183 inflation rate for years has hovered around 6%/year.

What's inflation? The simply answer is that it's any increase inrepparttar 112184 money supply. Governments increaserepparttar 112185 money supply to buy more than they earn from taxation. The increased currency supply depressesrepparttar 112186 value ofrepparttar 112187 existing dollars and thus allows Governments to borrow money and repayrepparttar 112188 loan in devalued dollars that offsetrepparttar 112189 interest onrepparttar 112190 loan. In essence,repparttar 112191 Government borrows money and repays it in dollars that buy less than didrepparttar 112192 originally loaned dollars.

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